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枪支政治的轻微解冻为参议院打开了一扇窗

2022-06-01 14:43  -ABC   - 

与...的关系里克·克莱因

如果这次会有所不同,那就是将会有所不同同时以各种方式。

获得参议院枪支法案将需要声誉和记录岌岌可危的立法者之间的实际妥协。这必须发生在乔·拜登总统身上在立法方面尽管他誓言周日在德克萨斯州的乌瓦尔迪采取行动,但前总统唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)退出了。

大多数情况下,枪支政治的解冻——除了几个例外——在那之后的一周内得以解决乌瓦尔迪悲剧将会持续足够长的时间,以便参议员的扩大会议取得成果。种子可能就在参与讨论的立法者们既没有同意也没有拒绝的内容中。

康涅狄格州参议员克里斯·墨菲,在美国广播公司的“本周”节目中告诉乔纳森·卡尔尽管他支持攻击性武器禁令和将购买长枪的最低年龄提高到21岁,但这些条款可能无法成为至少获得10名共和党人和民主党人支持的最终方案。

墨菲说:“也许这是我们能做的最重要的事情,只是表明进步是可能的,如果共和党人支持这些常识性的措施,天不会塌下来。”

另一个必须有所不同的因素是:最高参议院民主党人和最高参议院共和党人必须继续给他们的成员说话的空间。多数党领袖查克·舒默(Chuck Schumer)明确表示,他没有安排对一项他知道会失败的法案进行投票,少数党领袖米奇·麦康奈尔(Mitch McConnell)委托一名恰好代表得克萨斯州的高级副手约翰·科宁(sen . McConnell)领导共和党方面的谈判。

Cornyn选择不出席周五在休斯顿举行的全国步枪协会会议,在阵亡将士纪念日告诉记者他将在周二恢复与两党参议员的会谈,“看看我们能否就如何前进的基本框架达成一致。”

与...的概要亚里沙·维尔塞马

他选择的两个候选人在乔治亚州的竞选中失去他们的初选他在宾夕法尼亚州的参议员人选面临着正在进行的初选重新计票在第一次重要的中期初选过程中,特朗普支持的光泽似乎已经变得暗淡。

对于特朗普寻求将众议员利兹·切尼(Liz Cheney)从她在怀俄明州的网络普通用户席位上拉下来的努力来说,这一影响正在加大赌注。特朗普在支持哈里特·哈格曼这位律师曾试图阻止他成为该党2016年总统候选人。(哈格曼曾表示,她“在特朗普总统赢得提名时,支持他。”)

周末,在怀俄明州卡斯珀的一次集会上,特朗普攻击切尼(姓氏)她的政治家庭称她为“RINO”,并更广泛地将切尼称为“顽固的全球主义者和战争贩子”,他们“从未遇到过他们不喜欢的战争”

哈格曼说:“我将从目前占据怀俄明州唯一一个国会席位的弗吉尼亚州人手中夺回这个席位。”。

尽管这位前总统进行了一连串的攻击,切尼的连任竞选活动已经筹集了超过1000万美元的资金,并且仍然坚定不移地拒绝特朗普成为共和党领导人。这一举动标志着其他非特朗普支持的保守派迄今为止在竞选活动中的表现有了明显的不同——大多数人承认前总统的表现影响党内,而不是断然反对他。

考虑到她所在州的共和党人试图拒绝她,这个选择仍然给切尼带来了一场艰苦的战斗。即将到来的1月6日的公开听证会也有可能重振对切尼的攻击,因为她是调查叛乱事件的小组中仅有的两名共和党人之一。

周六,哈格曼对支持者说,“我们受够了1月6日的委员会和那些认为他们可以欺骗我们的人。”

小费汉娜·德米斯

德克萨斯州的立法者再一次成为国家关注的焦点,因为他们的州对国家政治趋势的影响——这一次是因为枪支立法乌瓦尔迪拍摄。

迄今为止,来自孤星州的大多数主要共和党人都回避了公众对更强有力的改革的渴望枪支管制措施。

周五,2024年竞选连任的得克萨斯州参议员特德·克鲁兹,说在休斯顿的全国步枪协会大会上。他否定了枪支立法的必要性。

“这既复杂又多面。克鲁兹说:“对枪支进行道德说教和大声疾呼那些你在政治上不同意的人要容易得多,但这从来都不是关于枪支的。”。

得克萨斯州共和党参议员约翰·科宁的任期将于2027年结束,他采取了与克鲁兹不同的方式,完全退出了在大会上的发言。他还帮助领导共和党方面就可能的枪支法案进行国会谈判,尽管他说这些谈判还处于早期阶段。

Cornyn也是宪法隐藏携带互惠法案的合著者。如果获得通过,它将允许在本州拥有秘密携带特权的个人在其他州携带枪支。

为了今年的连任,州长格雷格·阿博特也决定不参加全国步枪协会大会,但仍然通过发送预先录制的演讲参加了活动。

“全国各地有成千上万的法律限制拥有或使用枪支——这些法律并没有阻止疯子对无辜的人民和和平的社区实施邪恶的行为,”阿博特在他的讲话中说。

他在全国步枪协会的发言与他同一天在新闻发布会上告诉乌瓦尔迪社区的内容相矛盾。

“关于特别[立法会议],让我这样说:所有的选择都摆在桌面上,”阿博特当时谈到得克萨斯州将如何打击枪支暴力。“我们期待法律从这一毁灭性的罪行中诞生吗?答案绝对是肯定的。”

与此同时,该州的民主党人一直在敦促领导人制定枪支管制法,以防止更多的大规模枪击事件。德克萨斯州参议院民主党人致信阿博特,要求召开特别会议通过此类立法。

在信中,民主党人呼吁特别会议包括通过立法,将购买枪支的最低年龄提高到21岁,要求对所有枪支销售进行普遍的背景调查,并实施“红旗”法律。

还有一点

得克萨斯州参议员特德·克鲁兹和约翰·科宁代表着一名18岁的枪手上周在该州制造了美国最致命的校园枪击案之一,他们是国会中获得支持枪支捐赠者捐款最多的人。竞选财务记录显示。根据无党派竞选财务研究组织OpenSecrets对披露报告的分析,尤其是克鲁兹,他从当前国会中支持枪支的个人和团体那里获得了最多的钱,在他的职业生涯中积累了44.2万美元。

今天的数字,由五点三十八分驱动

861.根据,这是2020年死于怀孕和分娩相关原因的女性人数最近发布的政府数据作为一个富裕的国家,美国是世界上产妇死亡率最高的国家之一。作为“五·三八”杂志的玛吉·科尔斯和阿米莉亚·汤姆森-德沃写道在美国,黑人女性受到的影响更大。阅读Maggie和Amelia的文章,了解为什么推翻Roe诉Wade案可能会使美国的孕产妇死亡率更高。
 

Slight thaw in gun politics opens window for Senate: The Note

The TAKE withRick Klein

If this time is to be different, it'sgoing to have to be differentin a whole bunch of ways all at the same time.

Getting a Senate bill on guns will require actual compromise among lawmakers with reputations and records on the line. It will have to happen with President Joe Bidenon the legislative sidelines-- notwithstanding his vow for action on the ground in Uvalde, Texas, on Sunday -- and with former President Donald Trump sidelined, period.

Mostly, the thaw in gun politics that has -- with a few exceptions -- settled in in the week sincethe Uvalde tragedywill have to last long enough for senators' Zoom meetings to bear fruit. The seeds may be in what's being ruled neither in nor out among the lawmakers involved in the discussions.

Sen. Chris Murphy, D-Conn.,told ABC's Jonathan Karl on "This Week"that much as he supports things like an assault-weapons ban and raising the minimum age for long-gun purchases to 21, such provisions might not be able to make it into a final package that gets at least 10 Republicans joining with Democrats in support.

"Maybe that's the most important thing we could do is just show that progress is possible and that the sky doesn't fall for Republicans if they support some of these commonsense measures," Murphy said.

One other element that would have to be different: The top Senate Democrat and top Senate Republican will have to continue to give their members room to talk. Majority Leader Chuck Schumer pointedly did not schedule a vote on a bill he knew would fail, and Minority Leader Mitch McConnell deputized a top lieutenant who happens to represent Texas, Sen. John Cornyn, to lead the GOP side of talks.

Cornyn, who chose not to keep a scheduled appearance at the National Rifle Association meeting in Houston on Friday,told reporters on Memorial Daythat he would resume talks with senators in both parties on Tuesday "to see if we can agree on a basic framework about how we go forward."

The RUNDOWN withAlisa Wiersema

With two of his chosen candidates in Georgia's statewide raceslosing their primariesand his Senate pick in Pennsylvania facingan ongoing primary recount, the luster of a Trump endorsement appears to have dulled over the course of the first major midterm primaries.

The fallout is raising the stakes even higher for Trump's quest to unseat Rep. Liz Cheney -- his most outspoken critic in Congress -- from her at-large Wyoming seat. Trump is backingHarriet Hageman, an attorney who previously attempted to block his ascent to become the party's 2016 presidential nominee. (Hageman has said she "came to rally behind President Trump when he won the nomination.")

At a rally in Casper, Wyoming, over the weekend, Trump attackedCheneyand her political family by calling her a "RINO" and referring to the Cheneys more broadly as "diehard globalists and warmongers" who "have never met a war they didn't like."

"I'm going to reclaim Wyoming's lone congressional seat from that Virginian who currently holds it," Hageman said.

Despite a litany of attacks from the former president, Cheney's reelection campaign has raked in more than $10 million in fundraising and remains steadfast in rejecting Trump as the Republican leader. The move marks a significant difference between how other non-Trump endorsed conservatives have so far navigated the campaign landscape -- most acknowledged the former president'sinfluencewithin the party, rather than flatly opposing him.

The choice still presents Cheney with an uphill battle given that Republicans from her own state party attempted to reject her. The upcoming public Jan. 6 hearings are also likely to reinvigorate attacks against Cheney given her position as one of just two Republicans on the panel investigating the events surrounding the insurrection.

In a likely preface of the battle to come on the campaign trail, on Saturday Hageman told supporters, "We're fed up with the Jan. 6 commission and those people who think they can gaslight us."

The TIP withHannah Demissie

Texas lawmakers are once again in the national spotlight over their state's impact on national political trends -- this time over gun legislation in the wake of theUvalde shooting.

Most leading Republicans from the Lone Star State are so far sidestepping the public's desire for more robustgun control measures.

On Friday, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, who is up for reelection in 2024,spokeat the NRA convention in Houston. He dismissed the need for gun legislation.

"It is both complicated and multifaceted. It is a lot easier to moralize about guns and to shriek about those you disagree with politically, but it has never been about guns," Cruz said.

Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, whose term ends in 2027, took a different approach than Cruz and pulled out of speaking at the convention altogether. He is also helping lead the GOP side of congressional negotiations about a possible gun bill, though he has said those talks are in the early stage.

Cornyn is also a co-author of the Constitutional Concealed Carry Reciprocity Act. If passed, it would allow individuals with concealed carry privileges in their home state to carry in other states.

Up for reelection this year, Gov. Greg Abbott also decided not to attend the NRA convention but still took part in the event by sending in a pre-recorded speech.

"There are thousands of laws on the books across the country that limit the owning or using of firearms -- laws that have not stopped madmen from carrying out evil acts on innocent people and peaceful communities," Abbott said in his remarks.

His NRA speech contradicted what he told the Uvalde community that same day during a press conference.

"With regard to a special [legislative session], let me just say this: All options are on the table," Abbott said then about how Texas would combat gun violence. "Do we expect laws to come out of this devastating crime? The answer is absolutely yes."

Meanwhile, Democrats in the state have been urging leaders to enact gun control laws to prevent more mass shootings. Texas Senate Democrats sent a letter to Abbott demanding a special session to pass such legislation.

In the letter, the Democrats called for the special session to include passage of legislation that would raise the minimum age to purchase a firearm to 21, require a universal background check for all gun sales and implement "red flag" laws.

ONE MORE THING

Texas Sens. Ted Cruz and John Cornyn, who represent the state where an 18-year-old gunman carried out one of the nation's deadliest school shootings last week, are among Congress' top recipients of contributions from pro-gun donors,campaign finance records show. Cruz, in particular, has taken in the most money from pro-gun individuals and groups of anyone in the current Congress, amassing $442,000 over the course of his career, according to an analysis of disclosure reports by the nonpartisan campaign finance research group OpenSecrets.

NUMBER OF THE DAY, powered by FiveThirtyEight

861.That's the number of women who died from causes related to pregnancy and birth in 2020, according torecently released government data, giving America one of the highest maternal mortality rates in the world for a wealthy country. And asFiveThirtyEight's Maggie Koerth and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux write, it is Black women in the U.S. who are disproportionately impacted. Read more from Maggie and Amelia on why overturning Roe v. Wade would likely make maternal mortality rates in the U.S. even worse.

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