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共和党人的目标是获得5个众议院席位的风险是什么

2025-08-08 09:06 -ABC  -  388257

  唐纳德·特朗普总统周二声称共和党人在德克萨斯州,州议员之间正在进行重新划分选区的斗争。

  但是孤星州的政治摊牌具有全国性的影响,对美国众议院的控制可能岌岌可危。

  共和党人以近100年来最小的众议院多数开始了第119届国会。目前,该党拥有219-212的多数席位,还有4个席位空缺。当这些空缺被填补时,民主党人只需要在明年11月净得三个席位就可以赢回众议院。

  在所有成员都在场的任何投票中,众议院议长·迈克·约翰逊只能失去三名共和党人。微弱的优势让约翰逊在传达特朗普的观点时有些头疼全面减税和支出法案,重写加密货币规则还有更多。

  为了捍卫脆弱的多数,甚至扩大它,特朗普的政治操作在六月接触德州共和党人关于在2026年中期选举前重新绘制该州的国会地图。

  历史上,中期选举对总统的政党一直不友好,尽管约翰逊上周在德克萨斯州共和党人介绍新地图时表示,共和党将在明年的竞选中“无视历史”,“在众议院赢得多数席位”。

  分析人士称,如果新地图得以实施,共和党将获得三到五个席位之前告诉ABC新闻。提议的改变将影响奥斯汀、达拉斯和休斯顿的选区——这些地区通常投票给蓝色阵营。

  德克萨斯州重新划分选区的努力,很少在两次人口普查之间的十年中进行,已经引起了民主党人的强烈反对。

  民主党议员逃离该州以示抗议这使得共和党没有足够的法定人数来投票通过新地图。作为回应,共和党州长格雷格·艾伯特(Greg Abbott)下令德克萨斯州公共安全部逮捕民主党人,并将他们带回奥斯汀。

  特朗普总统周二在接受美国消费者新闻与商业频道电话采访时为此举辩护。

  “我们在德克萨斯州有机会获得五个席位。我们有一个非常好的州长,我们在德克萨斯州也有很好的人。我赢得了德克萨斯州,我得到了德克萨斯州历史上最高的选票,你可能知道。我们有资格再获得五个席位,”特朗普说。

  民主党领导人承诺用他们自己的新地图来对抗德克萨斯州共和党的努力。

  纽约州州长凯西·霍舒尔(Kathy Hochul)周一在奥尔巴尼与几名得克萨斯州众议院民主党人一起举行的新闻发布会上表示,她将试图重新划分她的州地图-尽管指出这不太可能在2026年中期选举前完成。

  “我们已经在进行立法程序,审查我们的法律策略,我们将尽一切力量阻止这种无耻的攻击,”Hochul说。“手套摘下来了,我说‘放马过来吧。’"

  加利福尼亚州州长加文·纽瑟姆也表示,如果得克萨斯州推进新地图,那么他们将在今年11月向选民提交自己的选区划分计划。

  在宪法修正后,这两个州目前都使用独立委员会来绘制他们的地图。

  纽瑟姆周一表示:“在加利福尼亚州,他们所做的一切都将被阉割,他们将为此付出代价。”。
 

Texas redistricting: What's at stake as Republicans aim to pick up 5 House seats

  President Donald Trump on Tuesdayclaimed Republicansare "entitled to five more seats" in Texas, where a redistricting battle is playing out among state lawmakers.

  But the Lone Star State'spolitical showdownhas national implications, with control of the U.S. House potentially at stake.

  Republicans started the 119th Congress with the smallest House majority in nearly 100 years. Currently, the party has a 219-212 majority with four vacancies. When those vacancies are filled, Democrats would need to only net three seats next November to win back the House.

  House Speaker Mike Johnson can only afford to lose three Republican in any vote where all members are present. The slim margin created some headaches for Johnson in delivering Trump'ssweeping tax cut and spending bill,rewriting cryptocurrency rulesand more.

  In a bid to defend the fragile majority, or even expand it, Trump's political operationapproached Texas Republicans in Juneabout redrawing the state's congressional map ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.

  Midterm elections historically have been unkind to the president's party, though Johnson said last week when Texas Republicans introduced the new maps that the GOP would "defy history" and "grow the majority in the House" in next year's races.

  The new map could net Republicans between three and five seats if enacted, analystspreviously told ABC News. The proposed changes would impact districts in Austin, Dallas and Houston -- areas that have typically voted blue.

  The Texas redistricting efforts, which are rarely done mid-decade between the census, has prompted major pushback from Democrats.

  Democratic lawmakersfled the state in protest, denying Republicans the necessary quorum to vote on enacting the new map. In response, Gov. Greg Abbott, a Republican, ordered the Texas Department of Public Safety to arrest the Democrats and bring them back to Austin.

  President Trump on Tuesday defended the move in a phone interview with CNBC.

  "We have an opportunity in Texas to pick up five seats. We have a really good governor, and we have good people in Texas. And I won Texas, I got the highest vote in the history of Texas as you probably know. And we are entitled to five more seats," Trump said.

  Democratic leaders have pledged to try to counter the Texas Republican effort with new maps of their own.

  New York Gov. Kathy Hochul on Monday, at a news conference alongside several Texas House Democrats in Albany, said she will try to gerrymander her state's map -- though noted it was unlikely to be done before the 2026 midterms.

  "We’re already working on a legislative process, reviewing our legal strategies, and we’ll do everything in our power to stop this brazen assault," Hochul said. "The gloves are off, and I say 'Bring it on.'"

  California Gov. Gavin Newsom, too, said if Texas moved forward with the new map then they would respond by putting their own redistricting plan before voters this November.

  Both states currently use independent commissions to draw their maps following constitutional amendments.

  "Whatever they are doing will be neutered here in the state of California, and they will pay that price," Newsom said on Monday.

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