预计参议院将讨论这个问题拯救美国Ac本月早些时候,唐纳德·特朗普总统通过一项法案成为焦点威胁要扣留他的签名直到共和党投票改革法案送到他的办公桌上。
参议院对该法案的辩论最早可能于周二开始,但周一,总统似乎对该法案能否送到他的办公桌上表示怀疑。
“我认为这件事必须完成。我不确定是不是,”当被问及该法案的前景时,特朗普表示。
“我希望(参议院多数党领袖)约翰·图恩能够通过这项法案。他在努力。我是说,他今天早上告诉我的。我和他谈过,他正在努力,”特朗普说。“我认为,如果他们不这样做,对我们的国家来说将是一件非常非常糟糕的事情。我们只是要求基本的东西,”特朗普说。
地板上的东西会变得很热,但是,尽管有共和党支持者的热情支持,这项立法最终几乎肯定会失败。
随着该法案成为本周的焦点,让我们来看看该法案的相关信息:
什么是拯救美国法案?
《拯救美国法案》(SAVE America Act)是一项由共和党主导的选举改革法案,该法案将限制邮寄选票,要求投票站提供带照片的身份证,并要求各州在登记个人在联邦选举中投票之前获得公民身份证明。
特朗普曾表示,通过《拯救美国法案》是当务之急。总统还在他希望在法律中看到的事情清单上增加了额外的条款:禁止变性妇女参加女子体育运动和未成年人的性别确认手术。
参议院正在考虑的法案会包括特朗普的额外要求吗?
预计参议院将考虑《拯救美国法案》的修正案,旨在增加特朗普的要求。但这些修正案需要60票才能通过,预计不会获得足够的支持,最终被纳入法案。
民主党人如何看待该法案?
参议院民主党人已经明确表示,他们打算反对这项立法,他们说,这将使数百万美国人更难投票。
在周日的一次新闻发布会上,民主党领袖查克·舒默(Chuck Schumer)称该法案是“我担任立法者多年来遇到的最卑鄙的立法之一。”
民主党人迅速强调,该法案不仅仅要求选民在投票站出示身份证。他们表示,这相当于试图将选举国有化,可能会导致许多人被拒之门外。
本周在参议院可以期待什么?
预计参议院将在本周举行一场可能会持续很长时间的辩论,以审议该法案。
这将是一个有争议的几天,在此期间,将会对该法案进行几乎无限的辩论。这场辩论可能会持续到本周末,但结果已经出炉。当立法者耗尽精力继续辩论时,将进行投票以推进需要60票才能推进的法案。民主党人几乎肯定会阻止它,该法案将会失败。
拯救美国法案会通过吗?
拯救美国法案在参议院通过的可能性极小。
尽管该法案将会有很多争论,但参议院要求60票才能通过大多数立法事项的规定将保持不变。这意味着,即使每个参议院共和党人都投票支持这项立法,至少也需要七名民主党人支持才能通过。
民主党人发誓要阻止该法案。没有他们的支持,它将失败。
参议员能改变规则吗?
是的,他们可以。但他们不会。
参议院阻挠议事规则要求60票才能将大多数立法事项通过成为法律。参议员有能力以简单的多数票改变他们的规则,他们面临来自特朗普和其他人的巨大压力。
但图恩在担任党领导人期间一直表示,共和党大会内部缺乏对改变参议院规则的支持。图恩是参议院阻挠议事规则的支持者,他已经明确表示没有改变阻挠议事规则的投票。
预计参议员不会对通过该法案所需的票数门槛进行修改。如果没有这些改变,很难想象这个法案会通过。
如果参议院不能通过,会发生什么?
然后又回到了制图板。
本周的行动相当于参议院共和党人的善意努力,旨在表明他们正努力实现特朗普的优先目标。但这在很大程度上是一次传递信息的投票,不太可能获得所需的支持。
众议院可能会采取进一步行动,试图恢复该法案。但是参议院民主党的反对使得任何新的努力都不太可能看到不同的结果。
不太清楚的是,这是否足以支持特朗普放弃他在所有其他法案上签字的威胁。
Senate is expected to take up the SAVE America Act this week. Here's what to know
The Senate is expected to take up theSAVE America Act this week after President Donald Trump earlier this month thrust the bill into focus with athreat to withhold his signatureon all other legislation until the GOP voting reform bill hits his desk.
Debate on the bill could kick off in the Senate as soon as Tuesday, but on Monday the president seemed doubtful that it would get to his desk.
"I think it's imperative that it gets done. I'm not sure it is,"Trump said when asked about the bill's outlook.
"I hope [Senate Majority Leader] John Thune can get it across the line. He's trying. I mean, he told me this morning. I spoke to him, he's trying," Trump said. "I think it'll be a very, very bad thing for our country if they don't. We're just asking for basic things," Trump said.
Things could get quite heated on the floor,but ultimately the legislation, despite having a passionate base of GOP supporters, will almost certainly fail.
Here's a look at what to know about this bill as it takes center stage this week:
What is the SAVE America Act?
The SAVE America Act is a Republican-led election reform bill that would restrict mail-in ballots, require photo ID at polling places and mandate that states obtain proof of citizenship before registering a person to vote in a federal election.
Trump has said that passing the SAVE America Act is a top priority. The president has also tacked additional provisions onto the list of things he would like to see in the law: banning transgender women from playing in women's sports and gender-affirming surgeries for minors.
Will the bill the Senate is considering include Trump's additional demands?
The Senate is expected to consider amendments to the SAVE America Act aimed at adding Trump's demands. But those amendments would need 60 votes to pass, and are not expected to get enough support to ultimately be tacked onto the bill.
What do Democrats think of the bill?
Senate Democrats have been clear they intend to oppose this legislation, which they say would make it more difficult for millions of Americans to vote.
During a press call on Sunday, Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer called the bill "one of the most despicable pieces of legislation I've come across in the many years I've been a legislator."
Democrats have been quick to underscore that the bill does more than require voters to show ID at the polling place. They say it amounts to an effort to nationalize elections and could lead to many people being turned away at their polling place.
What can be expected on the Senate floor this week?
The Senate is expected to hold a potentially lengthy debate on the floor this week as they consider the bill.
It will be a contentious couple of days during which the floor will be open for nearly unlimited debate on the bill. This debate could stretch into this weekend, but the result is already baked. When lawmakers run out of steam to keep debating, there will be a vote to move forward with the bill that requires 60 votes to advance. Democrats will almost certainly block it, and the bill will fail.
Will the SAVE America Act pass?
It is highly unlikely that the SAVE America Act will pass the Senate.
Though there's going to be a lot of debate on the bill, the Senate rules that require 60 votes to pass most legislative matters will remain intact. That means that even if every Senate Republican were to cast a vote in favor of this legislation, at least seven Democrats would need to support it for it to pass.
Democrats have vowed to block the bill. Without their support, it will fail.
Could senators change the rules?
Yes, they could. But they won't.
The Senate filibuster rule requires 60 votes to pass most legislative matters into law. Senators have the ability to change their rules with a simple majority of votes, and they've faced considerable pressure from Trump and others to do so.
But Thune has been consistent throughout his time as party leader about the lack of support within the Republican conference to change the Senate's rules. Thune is a supporter of the Senate filibuster, and he has been clear there are not the votes to change the filibuster rule.
Senators are not expected to make modifications to the threshold of votes necessary to pass this bill. Without those changes, its hard to see how this would pass.
If the Senate fails to pass it, what happens?
Then it's back to the drawing board.
This week's actions amount to a good-faith effort by Senate Republicans to demonstrate that they are trying to make good on Trump's priority. But this is largely a messaging vote unlikely to get the support it needs.
The House could take further action to try to revive the bill. But Democratic opposition in the Senate makes it unlikely that any renewed efforts will see a different outcome.
What's less clear is whether this will be enough to back Trump off of his threat to withhold his signature on all other bills.





