美联储周三维持利率不变，经济经受住了三年来最高的通货膨胀。
这一声明标志着特朗普提名的凯文·沃什(Kevin warsh)担任美联储主席以来的首次利率决定。
在新闻发布会上，沃什承诺将通货膨胀率降至美联储希望的2%的水平。目前的年价格上涨速度是目标速度的两倍多。
“居高不下的价格是美国人民的负担，”沃什在华盛顿特区告诉记者，“该委员会将稳定价格。”
FOMC的所有12名成员投票支持维持利率稳定，这意味着Warsh和他的前任，前美联储主席Jerome Powell同意利率决定。
九位成员表示，他们预计今年年底前将加息，这标志着市场情绪与三个月前发布的预测相比发生了重大变化。
由12名成员组成的美联储决策机构联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)发表了一份声明，称通胀“上升”
FOMC表示，当前的通胀水平部分反映了“供应冲击推动了包括能源在内的某些行业的价格上涨”。
这一政策举措也是在美国经济动荡的时刻出台的，就在几天前，美国和伊朗达成了一项协议，为部分价格缓解带来了希望。
美国-伊朗协议定于周五正式签署，因为汽油价格自3月份以来首次跌破每加仑4美元。尽管如此，燃料成本仍远高于战前水平，一系列食品价格仍居高不下。
根据CME FedWatch工具的数据，最近几周，到2026年底潜在加息的可能性增加了，该工具预计12月加息25个基点的可能性约为40%。
预期的转变是在本月早些时候强于预期的就业报告显示5月份招聘减少之后。理论上，有弹性的劳动力市场可以为央行提供加息的余地，以抑制通胀，因为借贷成本上升可能导致招聘放缓。
由于伊朗战争继续推高价格，5月份通货膨胀率连续第三个月跃升，三年来首次超过4%
中东冲突促使伊朗关闭了霍尔木兹海峡，这是一条海上贸易路线，为运输约五分之一的全球石油供应提供了便利。这一僵局引发了有史以来最大的石油冲击之一，导致汽油价格飙升。
周一，唐纳德·特朗普总统宣布了一项美国-伊朗协议，其中包括重新开放海峡的计划。伊朗副外长Kazem Gharibabadi证实，该协议已经敲定，并表示将于周五在瑞士签署。油价跌至三月份以来的最低水平。
基准利率在3.5%至3.75%之间。这一数字标志着从2023年达到的近期峰值大幅下降，但借贷成本仍远高于新冠肺炎疫情开始时设定的0%利率。
利率决定是沃什监管的第一个重大政策举措。在2000年代末和2010年代初担任美联储理事期间，沃什获得了利率“鹰派”的名声，这意味着他通常更喜欢用高利率来确保低而稳定的通胀。
去年，沃什表示支持降低利率。在4月份的参议院确认听证会上，沃什强调了高通胀带来的威胁。
沃什说:“当通货膨胀激增时——正如近年来所发生的那样——我们的公民会受到严重伤害，尤其是最不富裕的人。”。
一反常规，鲍威尔作为美联储决策委员会的成员，在利率问题上投了一票。
would表示，随着对美联储办公室装修的调查继续进行，他将在主席任期届满后继续留在央行理事会。
司法部在4月份放弃了对鲍威尔的刑事调查，呼吁美联储的监察长对与翻新相关的成本超支进行调查。鲍威尔上个月表示，他将在美联储董事会留任一段不确定的时间。
对鲍威尔的刑事调查集中在所谓的向国会提供关于办公室装修的虚假证词上。2017年由特朗普任命的鲍威尔指责这项调查是出于政治动机影响利率政策的努力。特朗普否认参与任何刑事调查。
Fed holds interest rates steady as inflation hits 3-year high
The Federal Reserve heldinterest ratessteady on Wednesday as the economy weathers its highestinflationin three years.
The announcement marked the first decision on interest rates rates since Trump nomineeKevin Warshtook the helm as Fed chair.
Speaking at a press conference, Warsh voiced a commitment to bring inflation down to the Fed's desired level of 2%. The annual pace of price increases currently registers at more than twice that target rate.
"Persistently high prices are a burden for the American people," Warsh told reporters in Washington, D.C. "This committee will deliver price stability."
All 12 members of the FOMC voted to hold interest rates steady, meaning Warsh and his predecessor, former Fed Chair Jerome Powell, agreed on the rate decision.
Nine members indicated they expect to raise interest rates by the end of the year, marking a significant change in sentiment from a previous projection issued three months earlier.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), a 12-member policymaking body at the Fed, issued a statement describing inflation as "elevated."
The current level of inflation in part reflects "supply shocks that have driven price increases in certain sectors, including energy," the FOMC said.
The policy move also arrived at a moment of flux for the nation’s economy, just days after anagreementbetween the United States and Iran offered hope for some price relief.
The U.S.-Iran accord, set to be formally signed on Friday, came as gasoline prices fell below $4 a gallon for the first time since March. Still, fuel costs stand well above pre-war levels, and an array of grocery prices remain elevated.
In recent weeks, odds have risen for a potential interest rate hike by the end of 2026, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, which grants a roughly four in 10 chance of a quarter-point increase in December.
The shift in expectations came after a stronger-than-expected jobs report earlier this monthshowedrobust hiring in May. In theory, a resilient labor market could afford central bankers leeway to raise interest rates in an effort to dial back inflation, since elevated borrowing costs risk a hiring slowdown.
Inflation jumped for a third consecutive month as the Iran war continued to drive up prices in May, surpassing 4% for the first time in three years
The Middle East conflict prompted the Iranian closure of theStrait of Hormuz, a maritime trading route that facilitates the transport of about one-fifth of global oil supply. The standoff triggered one of the largest oil shocks ever recorded, sending gasoline prices surging.
On Monday, President Donald Trump announced a U.S.-Iran deal that included plans to reopen the strait. Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi confirmed the deal had been finalized and said it would be signed in Switzerland on Friday. Oil pricesfellto their lowest level since March.
The benchmark rate stands at a level between 3.5% and 3.75%. That figure marks a significant drop from a recent peak attained in 2023, but borrowing costs remain well above a 0% rate established at the outset of the COVID-19 pandemic.
The rate decision is the first major policy move overseen by Warsh. During his term as a Fed governor in the late 2000s and early 2010s, Warsh gained a reputation as an interest-rate "hawk," meaning he generally preferred higher interest rates as a means of ensuring low and stable inflation.
Last year, Warsh voiced support for lower interest rates. At his Senate confirmation hearing in April, Warsh emphasized the threat posed by elevated inflation.
"When inflation surges -- as it has done in recent years -- grievous harm is done to our citizens, especially to the least well-off," Warsh said.
Bucking typical norms, Powell casted a vote on interest rates as a member of the Fed's policymaking board.
Powellsaidhe would stay on at the central bank's board of governors after his term as chair expired as an investigation into the Fed's office renovation continues.
The Department of Justicemovedto drop a criminal probe into Powell in April, calling on the Fed's inspector general to carry out the investigation into cost overruns tied to the renovation. Powell will remain on the Fed's board for an indeterminate length of time, he said last month.
The criminal investigation into Powell focused on alleged false testimony to Congress about an office renovation. Powell, who was appointed by Trump in 2017, has rebuked the probe as a politically motivated effort to influence interest-rate policy. Trump denied any involvement in the criminal investigation.
