距离美国中期选举不足 70 天，在一众保守派占优的红州参选的部分民主党候选人，向外释放出明确信号：希望前总统拜登、前副总统哈里斯不要介入自己的选战。
在艾奥瓦州，民主党联邦参议员候选人、州众议员乔希・图雷克，曾经两次在特朗普获胜的选区当选议员，也得到过前总统奥巴马的支持。当被问及哈里斯是否应该前来为他助选时，他直接给出答复：“不必。”
同样是艾奥瓦州，民主党州长候选人罗布・桑德在接受《政治》新闻网采访时，直接拒绝拜登与哈里斯前来站台。他还直言，哈里斯不该参与 2028 年总统大选，美国需要 “新的领导层”。
阿拉斯加州民主党参议员候选人玛丽・佩尔托拉近期也与哈里斯划清界限。此前哈里斯的政治行动委员会在一封筹款邮件中表态支持佩尔托拉。
佩尔托拉竞选团队向《纽约时报》表示：“玛丽不会寻求美国本土 48 个州政界人物的背书，她的关注点始终放在阿拉斯加州本身。”
接连出现的数次公开拒绝，发生在两个 2024 年大选中特朗普以两位数优势拿下的州，折射出民主党的现实困境：想要争取独立选民与温和派共和党选民的候选人，越来越把本党全国品牌、上一届总统竞选组合视作选举包袱。
参议院席位的争夺对民主党尤为关键，目前共和党在参议院只占有微弱多数，民主党希望夺回参议院控制权。
告别 2024 选举阴影
民主党战略分析师詹姆斯・卡维尔接受美国广播公司采访时表示，民主党 “已经想要翻篇告别 2024 年，所有人都被那次大选留下心理创伤”。他还称，这种现象并不新鲜：2012 年罗姆尼大选落败后，2014 年中期选举，共和党人也没人希望罗姆尼前来助阵。
卡维尔补充道，拜登确诊前列腺癌，也限制了他参与助选的能力；“民主党人对哈里斯本身并无恶感，只是并不觉得她具备强大号召力。”
报道援引历史资料，伊拉克战争爆发后，小布什民意支持率大跌。2005‑2006 年中期选举周期，小布什只在共和党票仓出席极少媒体曝光的活动。2008 大选前夕，他几乎不和麦凯恩同台，大多只举办不对外公开的私人筹款活动。
哈里斯前通讯主管阿什利・艾蒂安表示，选民对政坛建制派普遍失望，“民主党的整体形象已经跌入谷底”。
为佩尔托拉、图雷克提供支持的政治机构 “The Bench” 的民主党策略师马特・科里多尼称，这些候选人意在表达要打破现有格局。
“让上一届总统大选的本党提名人为自己站台，其实并不合适。他代表过去，代表僵化的党派体制。”
一位曾为哈里斯 2020 总统竞选筹款、不愿公开身份的民主党大额捐赠人向美国广播公司表示：“哈里斯去到宾夕法尼亚、阿拉斯加或者艾奥瓦，获得的拥护度，完全比不上她出现在南卡罗来纳、纽约。”
该捐赠人还称，民主党需要争取美国中部选民，“而哈里斯很难打动中部群体”。
针对桑德、图雷克、佩尔托拉的相关表态，哈里斯团队不予置评。美国广播公司也联系了拜登团队，截至发稿尚未收到回复。
各选区的选举算计
分析人士指出，候选人的选择，取决于他们想要争取哪一部分选民。
2024 年哈里斯的高级顾问、发言人艾德丽安・埃尔罗德说：“佩尔托拉有机会拿下阿拉斯加参议院席位，行事必须谨慎讲究策略。也就是说，不能把外部助选人物引入本州，也不能在网络上借用他们的声音，避免劝退摇摆选民。”
“有些地区很欢迎奥卡西奥‑科尔特斯，有些地方则恰恰相反。一切取决于目标选民的构成。”
当然，也有民主党候选人主动争取拜登、哈里斯的加持。
马萨诸塞州候选人丹・科曾曾在拜登政府白宫任职，他正在竞选接替众议员塞思・莫尔顿。他告诉记者，自己主动寻求拜登与哈里斯的背书，不少选民正是因为这份支持，表示会投他一票。
“我亲眼见证过他们的正直。对于我认可、共事过的人，我不会刻意与其切割。很幸运，当地选民也认同我的想法。”
阿肯色州候选人克里斯・琼斯，希望击败共和党现任众议员弗朗奇・希尔。近期他拿到哈里斯背书，同时也获得肯塔基州州长贝希尔、伊利诺伊州州长普里茨克、前交通部长布蒂吉格的支持。
被问到在红州竞选，哈里斯背书是否有用，以及如何看待桑德、图雷克的表态时，琼斯表示：“竞选本就十分艰难，每位候选人处境不同，面对的选民群体不一样，所处时机也各不相同。”
对 2028 大选的启示
上述匿名捐赠人表示，如果图雷克、桑德、佩尔托拉 11 月成功当选，会促使更多 2028 潜在总统参选人进一步和哈里斯拉开距离，向中间立场靠拢。
贝希尔、亚利桑那州参议员马克・凯利、印第安纳州的布蒂吉格，这些有望参选 2028 年大选的红州、摇摆州民主党政客，近期都现身艾奥瓦州助选，意在争取本党基本盘之外的广大选民。贝希尔为桑德站台，凯利助力图雷克，布蒂吉格两人都帮忙助选。
这名捐赠人说：“倘若他们当中有人胜选，像宾夕法尼亚州州长夏皮罗、贝希尔，还有马克・凯利这类人物，很可能进一步向中间立场偏移。他们会意识到，只靠蓝州赢不下大选，必须拿下摇摆州。”
Why some Democrats running in red states are pushing away Biden， Harris
With less than 70 days until the midterm election， some Democrats running in the most conservative areas are sending a clear message to former President Joe Biden and former Vice President Kamala Harris： stay out of their races．
In Iowa， Democratic Senate nominee state Rep． Josh Turek -- who has welcomed the support of former President Barack Obama and has twice won a seat in a district that voted for President Donald Trump -- was asked if Harris should campaign for him． He simply said ＂No．＂
Also in Iowa， Democratic gubernatorial nominee Rob Sand told Politico ＂no thanks＂ to the idea of Biden or Harris campaigning for him． He also said Harris should not run for president in 2028， arguing the country needs ＂new leadership．＂
Alaska Democratic Senate nominee Mary Peltola recently distanced herself from Harris after her political action committee backed Peltola in a fundraising email．
＂Mary isn＇t seeking endorsements from anyone from the Lower 48 -- her focus is and always will be Alaska，＂ Peltola＇s campaign told The New York Times．
The blunt rejections， coming within days of each other in two states Trump carried by double digits in 2024， underscore a reality for Democrats： candidates fighting for independent and moderate Republican voters increasingly see the party＇s brand and most recent presidential ticket as a liability．
The Senate races are particularly vital to Democrats， who are looking take control in the chamber where the GOP has a slim majority．
Putting 2024 intherearview
Democratic strategist James Carville told ABC News that the Democratic Party is ＂just ready to move on from 2024＂ as ＂everybody’s scarred by it．＂ He added that this phenomenon is not necessarily new， saying that ＂no Republicans＂ were looking for Mitt Romney＇s support in 2014 -- two years after Romney lost the 2012 election to Obama．
Carville added that Biden＇s prostate cancer diagnosis could be a limiting factor for his campaigning， and that ＂Democrats like Harris fine． They just don＇t find her particularly inspirational．＂
After the start of the Iraq War， when President George W． Bush＇s favorability ratings were down， he stuck to events with minimal press coverage in areas that were Republican strongholds， according to news reports at the time during the 2005-2006 midterm cycle．
During the run-up to the 2008 election， he barely appeared alongside John McCain， mostly holding private fundraisers out of the public eye．
Ashley Etienne， Harris＇ former communications director， said voters are disillusioned with the political establishment as ＂the Democratic Party＇s brand is in the tank．＂
Democratic strategist Matt Corridoni of the political organization， The Bench， which backs Peltola and Turek， said the candidates are signaling a break from the status quo．
＂It doesn’t really make sense to have someone who was our nominee last cycle be on the trail for you，＂ Corridoni said． ＂That represents the past． It represents partisan institutions．＂
A longtime Democratic donor who raised money for Harris＇ 2020 presidential campaign and asked not to be identified told ABC News， ＂Kamala showing up in Pennsylvania -- or Alaska， or Iowa -- she＇s not going to get the same enthusiasm as when she walks into South Carolina or New York City．＂
The donor added that Democrats need middle America appeal， ＂and you don＇t get the middle with Kamala．＂
The Harris team declined to comment on the recent remarks by Sand， Turek and Peltola． ABC News reached out to Biden＇s team for comment， but didn＇t hear back by the time of publication．
Thepoliticalcalculusvariesby district
Some say it all depends on the voters a candidate is trying to reach．
＂Somebody like Mary Peltola who has a very good chance of flipping the Alaska Senate seat has to be very careful and strategic …that means ensuring she’s not bringing surrogates into the state or using their voices online in ways that could potentially turn off some of her very persuadable voters，＂ said Adrienne Elrod， who served as Harris＇ senior adviser and spokesperson in 2024．
＂There are some places where ［Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez］ is in demand， and there are some places where she＇s not． A lot of it just depends on the makeup of the target demographic that you＇re going for，＂ Elrod added．
Some Democrats have actively sought Biden and Harris＇ support．
Former Biden White House aide Dan Koh， who is running to replace Rep． Seth Moulton in Massachusetts， told ABC News he asked Biden and Harris to endorse him． He said voters have told him they would vote for him because he has been backed by Biden．
＂I＇ve seen their integrity firsthand … I do not believe in running away from people that I believe in， that I＇ve worked with，＂ Koh said． ＂And I＇m fortunate that the electorate has agreed．＂
Chris Jones， who＇s running to replace Republican incumbent French Hill in Arkansas， recently received Harris＇ endorsement， along with the support of Kentucky Gov． Andy Beshear， Illinois Gov． JB Pritzker and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg．
Asked whether Harris＇ backing is helpful in his red district and about Sand and Turek＇s remarks， Jones told ABC News， ＂campaigning is hard … every candidate is different， every constituency is different， and every moment is different．＂
Implicationsfor 2028
The Harris donor said that if Turek， Sand or Peltola win in November， it could encourage other potential 2028 presidential contenders to further distance themselves from Harris and move more toward the center．
Red and purple state Democrats such as Beshear， Sen． Mark Kelly of Arizona and Buttigieg of Indiana -- all potential 2028 presidential contenders -- have recently campaigned in Iowa， showing an effort to reach voters well beyond the Democratic base． Beshear has campaigned for Sand； Kelly has campaigned for Turek and Buttigieg has campaigned for both Turek and Sand．
＂If any one of them win，＂ the donor said of Turek， Sand and Peltola， ＂you will see the ［Pennsylvania Gov． Josh］ Shapiros and the Beshears … maybe you＇ll have a Mark Kelly who will even move a little bit more center where they＇re going to say， ＇look， we can＇t win this election by just winning blue states， we need to win purple states．＇＂
